Iran vs Belgium Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 54.1 vs 56.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Belgium's attack is on another level, averaging 2.7 goals per match with C. De Ketelaere leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Iran has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Belgium's 1.0.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Belgium has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belgium. In practical terms, Belgium would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Belgium emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.8 vs 59.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-21). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.