Iran vs Qatar Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Iran vs Qatar: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Iran
Home Team
Qatar
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Iran
Draw
Qatar
Statistical Comparison
4W, 5D, 1L
1W, 4D, 5L
16 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
+10
-12
6 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4W / 7 matches
1W / 6 matches
0W / 3 matches
0W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 81.5, Opponent Quality: 61.4
League Difficulty: 78.5, Opponent Quality: 61.8
0W / 3 matches
0W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.23
Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.05
Attack: 55.5, Defense: 83.3, Form: 41.6
Attack: 27.5, Defense: 34.3, Form: 10.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Iran
Qatar
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.1 vs 53.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Iran holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Qatar's 0.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Iran holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.6 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Qatar's leaky backline that surrenders 2.0 goals per match.
Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Qatar has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Qatar is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Iran is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Qatar shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 28.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Iran in this contest. Their superior power rating of 59.5, compared to 31.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Iran
Qatar
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Iran
4W 5D 1L · 16 goals scored · 6 conceded
Qatar
1W 4D 5L · 8 goals scored · 20 conceded
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