Iraq vs Bolivia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 51.9 vs 53.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Iraq and Bolivia is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 0.8 and 0.7 goals per game respectively.

Both defenses are comparable, with Iraq conceding 1.8 and Bolivia conceding 2.0 per match.

Bolivia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bolivia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Iraq faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Bolivia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Bolivia's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - Intercontinental (2026-04-01): Iraq defeated Bolivia 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Iraq's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Bolivia. Iraq secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Bolivia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Iraq will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.