Iraq vs Norway Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Norway has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 66.4) compared to Iraq (SoS: 51.9). This means Norway's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Norway's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with E. Haaland leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Norway has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Iraq's 1.8.

Norway has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Norway is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Norway has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Norway faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Iraq can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Norway. In practical terms, Norway would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Norway holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 59.8 against 35.5 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-16): Norway defeated Iraq 1-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Norway's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Iraq. Notably, Norway achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Iraq shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Norway completely dominated Iraq in that encounter, raising serious questions about Iraq's ability to compete at this level. Iraq will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Norway will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.