Iraq vs Spain Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Spain has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 82.5) compared to Iraq (SoS: 51.9). This means Spain's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Spain's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with Mikel Oyarzabal leading the charge (6 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Spain — 0.3 goals conceded per game and 7 clean sheets put them well ahead of Iraq, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Spain has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Spain is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Spain is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 18 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Spain is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Iraq shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 55.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Spain. In practical terms, Spain would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Spain holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 91.0 against 35.5 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Spain a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Internationals (2026-06-04). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.