Israel vs Albania Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 54.7 vs 53.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Israel leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.9 goals per game compared to Albania's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Albania's backline outperforms Israel's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.

Israel has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Albania is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Israel has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Albania has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Israel faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Albania can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Israel. In practical terms, Israel would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

Israel has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.0-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-03), Israel prevailed 0-1 against Albania. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Israel achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Albania shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Albania will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Israel will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.