Italy vs Serbia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.2 vs 42.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Italy leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.3 goals per game compared to Serbia's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Italy holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.1 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Serbia's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Italy has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Italy is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Italy. In practical terms, Italy would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Italy holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.5-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-05): Italy defeated Serbia 3-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Italy's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Italy secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Italy completely dominated Serbia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Serbia's ability to compete at this level. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Italy will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): Italy defeated Serbia 0-6. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Italy's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Notably, Italy achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Serbia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-6 scoreline was emphatic — Italy completely dominated Serbia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Serbia's ability to compete at this level. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Italy will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.