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Compare Italy vs Belgium

Italy vs Belgium Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Italy vs Belgium: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Italy Italy Home Team
Belgium Belgium Away Team
Italy
63.6
D D D W W

Last 10 Matches

Belgium
64.5
D W W L W

Performance Radar

Italy
Belgium

Categories Won

7

Italy

4

Draw

4

Belgium

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

2W, 3D, 0L

60%

3W, 1D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

9 / 5 matches

1.2

6 / 5 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

5 / 5 matches

0.6

3 / 5 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
40%

2 / 5 matches

40%

2 / 5 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

2 / 5 matches

20%

1 / 5 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

3 / 5 matches

40%

2 / 5 matches

Top Scorer
M. Fugazzola (2 goals)
T. Moorthamer (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 2
Home Win Rate
50%

1W / 2 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

100%

1W / 1 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.4

League Difficulty: 65.0, Opponent Quality: 62.4

63.3

League Difficulty: 65.0, Opponent Quality: 62.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.82

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.02

1.4

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.2

Adjusted Power Rating
63.6

Attack: 68.0, Defense: 75.6, Form: 45.4

64.5

Attack: 45.3, Defense: 90.6, Form: 68.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

1

61-75'

2

76-90+'

1
Italy
Belgium
Italy

Power Rating Breakdown

63.6

Overall

Attack 68.0
Defense 75.6
Form 45.4
Consistency 71.2
Belgium

Power Rating Breakdown

64.5

Overall

Attack 45.3
Defense 90.6
Form 68.0
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

65.0 vs 65.0

Opponent Quality

62.4 vs 62.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Italy logo Italy
D
Belgium (67%)
D
Spain (64%)
D
Denmark (62%)
W
Montenegro (55%)
W
France (64%)
Belgium logo Belgium
D
Italy (65%)
W
France (64%)
W
Estonia (53%)
L
Spain (64%)
W
Croatia (65%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Belgium A
1 - 1 D
67%
Spain H
1 - 1 D
64%
Denmark A
3 - 3 D
62%
Montenegro A
3 - 0 W
55%
France H
1 - 0 W
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Italy H
1 - 1 D
65%
France H
2 - 1 W
64%
Estonia H
1 - 0 W
53%
Spain H
0 - 1 L
64%
Croatia A
2 - 0 W
65%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.4 vs 63.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Italy holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Belgium's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Belgium has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Italy's 1.0.

Italy has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Belgium has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Belgium is a strong road team with a 100% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

In their recent UEFA Under 17 Championship match (2026-06-07), Italy prevailed 1-1 against Belgium. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Italy achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Belgium shows genuine quality and mental strength. Belgium will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Italy will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Italy

Italy

VS
Belgium

Belgium

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Italy

2W 3D 0L · 9 goals scored · 5 conceded

Belgium

3W 1D 1L · 6 goals scored · 3 conceded

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