Italy vs Montenegro Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.4 vs 64.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Italy's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with M. Fugazzola leading the charge with 2 goals. Montenegro manages just 0.3 per match.

Defensively, Italy is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Montenegro leaks 3.3 per match.

Italy has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Montenegro has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Italy is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (68.0), defense (75.6), and form (45.4) leaves little room for doubt. Montenegro will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In their recent UEFA Under 17 Championship match (2026-05-29), Italy prevailed 0-3 against Montenegro. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Italy achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Montenegro shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Italy completely dominated Montenegro in that encounter, raising serious questions about Montenegro's ability to compete at this level. Montenegro will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Italy will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.