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Compare Italy vs Spain

Italy vs Spain Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Italy vs Spain: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Italy Italy Home Team
Spain Spain Away Team
Italy
63.6
D D D W W

Last 10 Matches

Spain
64.5
D L W W

Performance Radar

Italy
Spain

Categories Won

4

Italy

3

Draw

8

Spain

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

2W, 3D, 0L

50%

2W, 1D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

9 / 5 matches

2.0

8 / 4 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

5 / 5 matches

1.2

5 / 4 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
40%

2 / 5 matches

25%

1 / 4 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

2 / 5 matches

50%

2 / 4 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

3 / 5 matches

75%

3 / 4 matches

Top Scorer
M. Fugazzola (2 goals)
Mikel Urrestarazu (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.4

League Difficulty: 65.0, Opponent Quality: 62.4

64.1

League Difficulty: 65.0, Opponent Quality: 63.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.82

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.02

2.06

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
63.6

Attack: 68.0, Defense: 75.6, Form: 45.4

64.5

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.5, Form: 57.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

2

61-75'

2

76-90+'

2
Italy
Spain
Italy

Power Rating Breakdown

63.6

Overall

Attack 68.0
Defense 75.6
Form 45.4
Consistency 71.2
Spain

Power Rating Breakdown

64.5

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.5
Form 57.0
Consistency 49.4

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

65.0 vs 65.0

Opponent Quality

62.4 vs 63.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Italy logo Italy
D
Belgium (67%)
D
Spain (64%)
D
Denmark (62%)
W
Montenegro (55%)
W
France (64%)
Spain logo Spain
D
Italy (68%)
L
Croatia (64%)
W
Belgium (67%)
W
Estonia (55%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Belgium A
1 - 1 D
67%
Spain H
1 - 1 D
64%
Denmark A
3 - 3 D
62%
Montenegro A
3 - 0 W
55%
France H
1 - 0 W
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Italy A
1 - 1 D
68%
Croatia H
2 - 3 L
64%
Belgium A
1 - 0 W
67%
Estonia A
4 - 1 W
55%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.4 vs 64.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Italy averaging 1.8 and Spain averaging 2.0 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Italy conceding 1.0 and Spain conceding 1.2 per match.

Italy has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Spain has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Spain is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

In their recent UEFA Under 17 Championship match (2026-06-04), Italy prevailed 1-1 against Spain. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Italy secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Spain will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Italy will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Italy

Italy

VS
Spain

Spain

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Italy

2W 3D 0L · 9 goals scored · 5 conceded

Spain

2W 1D 1L · 8 goals scored · 5 conceded

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