Jamaica vs United States Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.8 vs 67.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

United States's attack is on another level, averaging 2.2 goals per match with A. Sentnor leading the charge (3 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for United States — 0.4 goals conceded per game and 7 clean sheets put them well ahead of Jamaica, who give up 2.4 goals per match at the other end.

Jamaica has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

United States has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

United States has an exceptional home record with a 88% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Jamaica is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

🔥 Form Momentum: United States is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. United States is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Jamaica shows signs of decline with 2W in last 5.

💡 Why This Matters: The 48.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for United States. In practical terms, United States would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, United States emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 87.4 compared to 39.1, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects United States as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-06-04), United States prevailed 4-0 against Jamaica. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. United States secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — United States completely dominated Jamaica in that encounter, raising serious questions about Jamaica's ability to compete at this level. Jamaica will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. United States will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.