Jordan vs Mali Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Jordan has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 56.0 against considerably stronger competition than Mali (SoS: 41.2). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Jordan averaging 1.2 and Mali averaging 0.9 goals per match.

Mali holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.7 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Jordan's leaky backline that surrenders 2.5 goals per match.

Jordan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Jordan is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mali is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Mali. In practical terms, Mali would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Mali holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.6-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Internationals (2025-11-18). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.