Jordan vs Tunisia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.0 vs 51.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Jordan holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus Tunisia's 0.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Jordan conceding 2.5 and Tunisia conceding 2.3 per match.

Jordan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Tunisia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Jordan is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Tunisia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Jordan faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.5 goals per match. If Tunisia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Jordan's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-11-14), Tunisia prevailed 3-2 against Jordan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Tunisia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Jordan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Tunisia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.