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Compare Juárez vs Pachuca

Juárez vs Pachuca Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Juárez vs Pachuca: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Juárez Juárez Home Team
Pachuca Pachuca Away Team
Juárez
39.3
L L W L L L D D W D

Last 10 Matches

Pachuca
58.2
L W L W W W L L W W

Performance Radar

Juárez
Pachuca

Categories Won

2

Juárez

3

Draw

10

Pachuca

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

60%

6W, 0D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ó. Estupiñán (4 goals)
V. Guzmán (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.4

League Difficulty: 60.2, Opponent Quality: 50.5

56.2

League Difficulty: 60.2, Opponent Quality: 53.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.06

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.14

1.48

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
39.3

Attack: 41.8, Defense: 45.2, Form: 20.9

58.2

Attack: 56.6, Defense: 67.3, Form: 63.7

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

3

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

3
Juárez
Pachuca
Juárez

Power Rating Breakdown

39.3

Overall

Attack 41.8
Defense 45.2
Form 20.9
Consistency 61.3
Pachuca

Power Rating Breakdown

58.2

Overall

Attack 56.6
Defense 67.3
Form 63.7
Consistency 35.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.2 vs 60.2

Opponent Quality

50.5 vs 53.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Juárez logo Juárez
L
Chivas (49%)
L
Puebla (30%)
W
San Luis (46%)
L
Pumas (61%)
L
León (51%)
L
Tijuana (63%)
D
Querétaro (66%)
D
Puebla (43%)
Pachuca logo Pachuca
L
Querétaro (53%)
W
Pumas (53%)
L
Pumas (61%)
W
Pumas (56%)
W
Toluca (45%)
W
Toluca (50%)
L
Pumas (56%)
L
Tijuana (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Chivas A
0 - 1 L
49%
Puebla H
0 - 1 L
30%
San Luis H
2 - 1 W
46%
Pumas A
2 - 4 L
61%
León A
1 - 3 L
51%
Tijuana H
1 - 2 L
63%
Querétaro A
1 - 1 D
66%
Puebla A
1 - 1 D
43%
Tigres H
2 - 1 W
53%
Monterrey H
2 - 2 D
43%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Querétaro H
1 - 2 L
53%
Pumas A
3 - 0 W
53%
Pumas A
0 - 1 L
61%
Pumas H
1 - 0 W
56%
Toluca H
2 - 0 W
45%
Toluca A
1 - 0 W
50%
Pumas H
0 - 2 L
56%
Tijuana A
1 - 3 L
68%
Monterrey A
3 - 1 W
48%
Santos Laguna H
4 - 2 W
45%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.4 vs 56.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Pachuca holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Juárez's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Pachuca has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Juárez's 1.7.

Juárez has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pachuca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pachuca is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Juárez is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Pachuca has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Pachuca is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Juárez shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Pachuca. In practical terms, Pachuca would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Pachuca in this contest. Their superior power rating of 58.2, compared to 39.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Juárez

Juárez

VS
Pachuca

Pachuca

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Juárez

2W 3D 5L · 12 goals scored · 17 conceded

Pachuca

6W 0D 4L · 16 goals scored · 11 conceded

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