Juárez vs Querétaro Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Context matters here: Juárez's schedule strength (SoS: 54.4) has been notably more demanding than Querétaro's (SoS: 42.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Juárez averaging 1.2 and Querétaro averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Querétaro holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.7 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Juárez's leaky backline that surrenders 1.7 goals per match.

Juárez has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.4 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Juárez is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Querétaro has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Querétaro. In practical terms, Querétaro would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Querétaro has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Liga MX (2026-04-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.