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Compare Kairat vs Sutjeska

Kairat vs Sutjeska Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kairat vs Sutjeska: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kairat Kairat Home Team
Sutjeska Sutjeska Away Team
Kairat
43.5
L L L W L W W L L

Last 10 Matches

Sutjeska
29.5
L L L L

Performance Radar

Kairat
Sutjeska

Categories Won

11

Kairat

1

Draw

3

Sutjeska

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
33%

3W, 0D, 6L

0%

0W, 0D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

8 / 9 matches

0.5

2 / 4 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

14 / 9 matches

2.2

9 / 4 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
22%

2 / 9 matches

0%

0 / 4 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
44%

4 / 9 matches

75%

3 / 4 matches

Both Teams to Score
33%

3 / 9 matches

50%

2 / 4 matches

Top Scorer
Jorginho (2 goals)
M. Mrvaljević (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 2
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
72.7

League Difficulty: 95.7, Opponent Quality: 77.6

74.3

League Difficulty: 87.5, Opponent Quality: 65.5

Elite Opponent Record
29%

2W / 7 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.97

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.08

0.64

Actual: 0.5 | Diff: -0.14

Adjusted Power Rating
43.5

Attack: 36.8, Defense: 57.3, Form: 40.5

29.5

Attack: 20.7, Defense: 33.1, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

16-30'

1

31-45'

46-60'

1

61-75'

5

76-90+'

2
Kairat
Sutjeska
Kairat

Power Rating Breakdown

43.5

Overall

Attack 36.8
Defense 57.3
Form 40.5
Consistency 40.0
Sutjeska

Power Rating Breakdown

29.5

Overall

Attack 20.7
Defense 33.1
Form 0.0
Consistency 100.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

95.7 vs 87.5

Opponent Quality

77.6 vs 65.5

Elite Opponent Record

29% vs 0%
Kairat logo Kairat
L
Anderlecht (71%)
L
Levski (86%)
L
Levski (90%)
W
Omonia (64%)
L
Omonia (69%)
W
Sutjeska (76%)
W
Sutjeska (74%)
L
Arsenal (83%)
Sutjeska logo Sutjeska
L
ML Vitebsk (66%)
L
ML Vitebsk (69%)
L
Kairat (61%)
L
Kairat (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Anderlecht H
0 - 3 L
71%
Levski H
0 - 1 L
86%
Levski A
0 - 1 L
90%
Omonia H
1 - 0 W
64%
Omonia A
0 - 1 L
69%
Sutjeska A
2 - 0 W
76%
Sutjeska H
2 - 1 W
74%
Arsenal A
2 - 3 L
83%
Club Brugge H
1 - 4 L
85%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
ML Vitebsk H
1 - 2 L
66%
ML Vitebsk A
0 - 3 L
69%
Kairat H
0 - 2 L
61%
Kairat A
1 - 2 L
66%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (72.7 vs 74.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Kairat leads the attacking statistics, averaging 0.9 goals per game compared to Sutjeska's 0.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Kairat's backline outperforms Sutjeska's, with 1.6 goals conceded per match versus 2.2.

Kairat has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sutjeska has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sutjeska is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Kairat is on the rise with 3W in last 9, while Sutjeska shows signs of decline with 0W in last 4.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Kairat faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Sutjeska can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kairat. In practical terms, Kairat would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Kairat, with a 14.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-07-15): Kairat defeated Sutjeska 0-2. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Kairat's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sutjeska. Notably, Kairat achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Sutjeska shows genuine quality and mental strength. Sutjeska will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kairat will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-07-08): Kairat defeated Sutjeska 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Kairat's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sutjeska. Kairat secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sutjeska will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kairat will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kairat

Kairat

VS
Sutjeska

Sutjeska

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Kairat

3W 0D 6L · 8 goals scored · 14 conceded

Sutjeska

0W 0D 4L · 2 goals scored · 9 conceded

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