Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar D Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar D: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Karpaty Lviv
Home Team
Shakhtar D
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Karpaty Lviv
Draw
Shakhtar D
Statistical Comparison
5W, 3D, 2L
5W, 3D, 2L
18 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
+12
+12
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
4W / 6 matches
1W / 3 matches
1W / 4 matches
4W / 7 matches
League Difficulty: 76.8, Opponent Quality: 54.0
League Difficulty: 69.5, Opponent Quality: 55.5
0W / 2 matches
1W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.08
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.01
Attack: 59.8, Defense: 79.7, Form: 49.8
Attack: 73.1, Defense: 80.4, Form: 54.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Karpaty Lviv
Shakhtar D
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Context matters here: Shakhtar D's schedule strength (SoS: 59.7) has been notably more demanding than Karpaty Lviv's (SoS: 49.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.
Karpaty Lviv (1.8 goals per match) and Shakhtar D (2.0 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
The defensive records are closely aligned, with Karpaty Lviv giving up 0.6 and Shakhtar D giving up 0.8 per fixture.
Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Karpaty Lviv has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Shakhtar D has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Shakhtar D. In practical terms, Shakhtar D would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Shakhtar D, with a 5.7-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Karpaty Lviv
Shakhtar D
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Karpaty Lviv
5W 3D 2L · 18 goals scored · 6 conceded
Shakhtar D
5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 8 conceded
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