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Compare Karpaty Lviv vs SK Poltava

Karpaty Lviv vs SK Poltava Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Karpaty Lviv vs SK Poltava: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv Home Team
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away Team
Karpaty Lviv
60.8
W W W D L W D L D W

Last 10 Matches

SK Poltava
28.6
D L L L D L D L D L

Performance Radar

Karpaty Lviv
SK Poltava

Categories Won

11

Karpaty Lviv

3

Draw

1

SK Poltava

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

0%

0W, 4D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+12

+12

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Chachua (3 goals)
V. Sad (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
49.6

League Difficulty: 76.8, Opponent Quality: 54.0

64.1

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 71.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 7 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.88

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.08

0.79

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
60.8

Attack: 59.8, Defense: 79.7, Form: 49.8

28.6

Attack: 26.6, Defense: 26.6, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1

76-90+'

Karpaty Lviv
SK Poltava
Karpaty Lviv

Power Rating Breakdown

60.8

Overall

Attack 59.8
Defense 79.7
Form 49.8
Consistency 53.2
SK Poltava

Power Rating Breakdown

28.6

Overall

Attack 26.6
Defense 26.6
Form 0.0
Consistency 92.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.8 vs 98.0

Opponent Quality

54.0 vs 71.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Karpaty Lviv logo Karpaty Lviv
W
Veres Rivne (29%)
W
Veres Rivne (29%)
W
Željezničar (42%)
D
Lokomotiva (59%)
L
Zorya (70%)
W
Veres Rivne (51%)
D
Kharkiv (65%)
L
Kryvbas KR (77%)
SK Poltava logo SK Poltava
D
Epitsentr (72%)
L
Dynamo Kyiv (75%)
L
LNZ Cherkasy (70%)
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
D
Kryvbas KR (72%)
L
Kolos (85%)
D
Obolon (68%)
L
Polissya (73%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Veres Rivne H
1 - 0 W
29%
Veres Rivne H
5 - 1 W
29%
Željezničar H
4 - 0 W
42%
Lokomotiva A
0 - 0 D
59%
Zorya H
1 - 2 L
70%
Veres Rivne H
2 - 0 W
51%
Kharkiv A
2 - 2 D
65%
Kryvbas KR A
0 - 1 L
77%
LNZ Cherkasy H
0 - 0 D
65%
Rukh Lviv A
3 - 0 W
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Epitsentr A
0 - 0 D
72%
Dynamo Kyiv H
0 - 2 L
75%
LNZ Cherkasy A
0 - 2 L
70%
Shakhtar D H
0 - 4 L
78%
Kryvbas KR H
3 - 3 D
72%
Kolos A
0 - 2 L
85%
Obolon A
1 - 1 D
68%
Polissya H
0 - 4 L
73%
Oleksandria H
3 - 3 D
54%
Kharkiv A
0 - 2 L
65%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

SK Poltava has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 64.1) compared to Karpaty Lviv (SoS: 49.6). This means SK Poltava's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Karpaty Lviv's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with A. Chachua leading the charge (3 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Karpaty Lviv — 0.6 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of SK Poltava, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

SK Poltava has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Karpaty Lviv has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: SK Poltava is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Karpaty Lviv is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while SK Poltava shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Karpaty Lviv. In practical terms, Karpaty Lviv would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Karpaty Lviv is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 60.8 vs 28.6, and superior metrics across the board, Karpaty Lviv should win this comfortably.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Karpaty Lviv

Karpaty Lviv

VS
SK Poltava

SK Poltava

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Karpaty Lviv

5W 3D 2L · 18 goals scored · 6 conceded

SK Poltava

0W 4D 6L · 7 goals scored · 23 conceded

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