Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Kasımpaşa
Home Team
Samsunspor
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Kasımpaşa
Draw
Samsunspor
Statistical Comparison
5W, 3D, 2L
5W, 2D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
+3
+2
5 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4W / 6 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 63.9, Opponent Quality: 52.9
League Difficulty: 66.6, Opponent Quality: 59.9
0W / 2 matches
1W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.03
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.25
Attack: 47.1, Defense: 56.5, Form: 47.1
Attack: 66.1, Defense: 51.4, Form: 55.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Samsunspor has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 60.1 against considerably stronger competition than Kasımpaşa (SoS: 44.1). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.
Samsunspor leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Kasımpaşa's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, Kasımpaşa holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Samsunspor's 1.6.
Samsunspor has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Kasımpaşa has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Samsunspor has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Samsunspor faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Kasımpaşa can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Samsunspor. In practical terms, Samsunspor would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Samsunspor has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.7-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Kasımpaşa
5W 3D 2L · 15 goals scored · 12 conceded
Samsunspor
5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 16 conceded
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