Kazakhstan vs Belarus Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 54.0 vs 63.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Belarus leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.2 goals per game compared to Kazakhstan's 0.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Belarus is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 1 clean sheets, while Kazakhstan leaks 2.0 goals per match.

Belarus has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Belarus has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Kazakhstan is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Belarus is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Belarus faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Kazakhstan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 23.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belarus. In practical terms, Belarus would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Belarus in this contest. Their superior power rating of 52.6, compared to 28.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Under 21 Internationals match (2026-06-08), Belarus prevailed 2-1 against Kazakhstan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Belarus secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Kazakhstan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belarus will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Under 21 Internationals match (2026-06-05), Belarus prevailed 2-0 against Kazakhstan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Belarus secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Kazakhstan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belarus will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.