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Compare Keith vs Turriff Utd

Keith vs Turriff Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Keith vs Turriff Utd: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Keith Keith Home Team
Turriff Utd Turriff Utd Away Team
Keith
54.0
L W W D W L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Turriff Utd
42.3
D W L W W L L L D W

Performance Radar

Keith
Turriff Utd

Categories Won

8

Keith

3

Draw

4

Turriff Utd

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Stephen (6 goals)
M. Keir (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

29%

2W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
29.3

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 32.1

30.6

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 34.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: +0.64

1.31

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.49

Adjusted Power Rating
54.0

Attack: 58.2, Defense: 47.6, Form: 55.5

42.3

Attack: 48.4, Defense: 45.7, Form: 32.2

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

5
4

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

4
4

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

1
Keith
Turriff Utd
Keith

Power Rating Breakdown

54.0

Overall

Attack 58.2
Defense 47.6
Form 55.5
Consistency 53.2
Turriff Utd

Power Rating Breakdown

42.3

Overall

Attack 48.4
Defense 45.7
Form 32.2
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 25.0

Opponent Quality

32.1 vs 34.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Keith logo Keith
L
Forres (38%)
W
Rothes (15%)
W
Lossiemouth (22%)
D
Huntly (44%)
W
Forres (33%)
L
Strathspey (29%)
W
Turriff Utd (45%)
W
Nairn (34%)
Turriff Utd logo Turriff Utd
D
Clachnacuddin (42%)
W
Brechin (28%)
L
Inverurie (33%)
W
Strathspey (34%)
W
Nairn (34%)
L
Wick (23%)
L
Huntly (39%)
L
Keith (51%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forres A
1 - 5 L
38%
Rothes A
5 - 1 W
15%
Lossiemouth H
5 - 0 W
22%
Huntly A
1 - 1 D
44%
Forres H
1 - 0 W
33%
Strathspey H
0 - 2 L
29%
Turriff Utd A
2 - 1 W
45%
Nairn H
2 - 0 W
34%
Inverurie H
2 - 0 W
33%
Wick A
3 - 2 W
28%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Clachnacuddin A
0 - 0 D
42%
Brechin H
4 - 1 W
28%
Inverurie H
1 - 3 L
33%
Strathspey A
4 - 0 W
34%
Nairn H
3 - 2 W
34%
Wick H
0 - 1 L
23%
Huntly H
1 - 2 L
39%
Keith H
1 - 2 L
51%
Forres H
2 - 2 D
33%
Lossiemouth A
2 - 0 W
27%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 29.3 vs 30.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Keith outperforms Turriff Utd with 2.2 goals per match to 1.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Keith and Turriff Utd are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.3 goals per game respectively.

Keith has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Turriff Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Keith has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Turriff Utd is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Keith is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Keith is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Turriff Utd shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 79% win probability for Keith. In practical terms, Keith would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Keith holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 11.7-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-03-21), Keith prevailed 1-2 against Turriff Utd. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Keith achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Turriff Utd shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Turriff Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Keith will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Keith

Keith

VS
Turriff Utd

Turriff Utd

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Keith

7W 1D 2L · 22 goals scored · 12 conceded

Turriff Utd

4W 2D 4L · 18 goals scored · 13 conceded

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