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Compare Keith vs Wick

Keith vs Wick Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Keith vs Wick: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Keith Keith Home Team
Wick Wick Away Team
Keith
54.0
L W W D W L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Wick
27.6
L D L L W L L L L W

Performance Radar

Keith
Wick

Categories Won

11

Keith

3

Draw

1

Wick

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

-12

-12

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Stephen (6 goals)
M. MacGregor (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
29.3

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 32.1

34.4

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 40.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: +0.64

0.65

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.25

Adjusted Power Rating
54.0

Attack: 58.2, Defense: 47.6, Form: 55.5

27.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 25.3, Form: 16.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

1
Keith
Wick
Keith

Power Rating Breakdown

54.0

Overall

Attack 58.2
Defense 47.6
Form 55.5
Consistency 53.2
Wick

Power Rating Breakdown

27.6

Overall

Attack 25.3
Defense 25.3
Form 16.9
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 25.0

Opponent Quality

32.1 vs 40.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Keith logo Keith
L
Forres (38%)
W
Rothes (15%)
W
Lossiemouth (22%)
D
Huntly (44%)
W
Forres (33%)
L
Strathspey (29%)
W
Turriff Utd (45%)
W
Nairn (34%)
Wick logo Wick
L
Banks O' Dee (49%)
D
Banks O' Dee (44%)
L
Buckie Thistle (47%)
L
Banks O' Dee (49%)
W
Turriff Utd (45%)
L
Forres (33%)
L
Brechin (28%)
L
Strathspey (34%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forres A
1 - 5 L
38%
Rothes A
5 - 1 W
15%
Lossiemouth H
5 - 0 W
22%
Huntly A
1 - 1 D
44%
Forres H
1 - 0 W
33%
Strathspey H
0 - 2 L
29%
Turriff Utd A
2 - 1 W
45%
Nairn H
2 - 0 W
34%
Inverurie H
2 - 0 W
33%
Wick A
3 - 2 W
28%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Banks O' Dee A
0 - 2 L
49%
Banks O' Dee H
1 - 1 D
44%
Buckie Thistle H
0 - 3 L
47%
Banks O' Dee A
1 - 6 L
49%
Turriff Utd A
1 - 0 W
45%
Forres H
1 - 3 L
33%
Brechin H
0 - 1 L
28%
Strathspey A
0 - 2 L
34%
Keith H
2 - 3 L
51%
Lossiemouth A
3 - 0 W
27%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 29.3 vs 34.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Keith possess a formidable attacking unit, with T. Stephen accounting for 6 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.2 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Keith is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Wick leaks 2.1 goals per match.

Keith has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Wick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Keith has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Keith is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Keith is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Wick is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Keith is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Wick shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 26.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Keith. In practical terms, Keith would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Keith in this contest. Their superior power rating of 54.0, compared to 27.6 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-03-07), Keith prevailed 2-3 against Wick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Keith achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Wick shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Wick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Keith will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Keith

Keith

VS
Wick

Wick

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Keith

7W 1D 2L · 22 goals scored · 12 conceded

Wick

2W 1D 7L · 9 goals scored · 21 conceded

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