Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Kelty Hearts
Home Team
Cove Rangers
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Kelty Hearts
Draw
Cove Rangers
Statistical Comparison
4W, 2D, 4L
4W, 1D, 5L
12 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
-2
-8
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 39.0, Opponent Quality: 47.8
League Difficulty: 39.0, Opponent Quality: 46.6
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.17
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.23
Attack: 37.7, Defense: 50.3, Form: 37.7
Attack: 31.2, Defense: 37.4, Form: 37.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Kelty Hearts
Cove Rangers
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.3 vs 43.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kelty Hearts averaging 1.2 and Cove Rangers averaging 1.0 goals per match.
Kelty Hearts's backline outperforms Cove Rangers's, with 1.4 goals conceded per match versus 1.8.
Kelty Hearts has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Cove Rangers has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Kelty Hearts faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Cove Rangers can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 6.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Kelty Hearts. In practical terms, Kelty Hearts would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Kelty Hearts has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.0-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
In their recent Scottish League One match (2026-04-25), Cove Rangers prevailed 0-2 against Kelty Hearts. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Cove Rangers achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Kelty Hearts shows genuine quality and mental strength. Kelty Hearts will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cove Rangers will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Kelty Hearts
Cove Rangers
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Kelty Hearts
4W 2D 4L · 12 goals scored · 14 conceded
Cove Rangers
4W 1D 5L · 10 goals scored · 18 conceded
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