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Compare Kelty Hearts vs Montrose

Kelty Hearts vs Montrose Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kelty Hearts vs Montrose: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts Home Team
Montrose Montrose Away Team
Kelty Hearts
41.9
L W L D W L L W D W

Last 10 Matches

Montrose
39.7
L W W W L D L L L W

Performance Radar

Kelty Hearts
Montrose

Categories Won

8

Kelty Hearts

4

Draw

3

Montrose

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Shanley (2 goals)
E. Loudon (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.3

League Difficulty: 39.0, Opponent Quality: 47.8

42.9

League Difficulty: 39.0, Opponent Quality: 45.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.03

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.17

0.98

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
41.9

Attack: 37.7, Defense: 50.3, Form: 37.7

39.7

Attack: 34.1, Defense: 49.5, Form: 37.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

5
2

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Kelty Hearts

Power Rating Breakdown

41.9

Overall

Attack 37.7
Defense 50.3
Form 37.7
Consistency 44.8
Montrose

Power Rating Breakdown

39.7

Overall

Attack 34.1
Defense 49.5
Form 37.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

39.0 vs 39.0

Opponent Quality

47.8 vs 45.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Kelty Hearts logo Kelty Hearts
L
Aberdeen (65%)
W
Brora Rangers (38%)
L
Queen's Park (48%)
D
QOTS (54%)
W
Peterhead (37%)
L
Cove Rangers (36%)
L
Inverness (58%)
W
Montrose (38%)
Montrose logo Montrose
L
Spartans (38%)
W
Arbroath (47%)
W
Stirling (44%)
W
Dundee Utd (48%)
L
Stenhousemuir (47%)
D
QOTS (50%)
L
Hamilton (54%)
L
Kelty Hearts (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aberdeen A
0 - 3 L
65%
Brora Rangers H
3 - 2 W
38%
Queen's Park H
0 - 2 L
48%
QOTS A
1 - 1 D
54%
Peterhead A
2 - 0 W
37%
Cove Rangers H
0 - 2 L
36%
Inverness A
0 - 1 L
58%
Montrose H
3 - 1 W
38%
QOTS H
1 - 1 D
45%
Hamilton A
2 - 1 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spartans H
0 - 2 L
38%
Arbroath A
2 - 0 W
47%
Stirling A
2 - 0 W
44%
Dundee Utd H
1 - 0 W
48%
Stenhousemuir H
0 - 2 L
47%
QOTS A
2 - 2 D
50%
Hamilton H
0 - 2 L
54%
Kelty Hearts A
1 - 3 L
46%
Cove Rangers H
2 - 3 L
36%
East Fife H
1 - 0 W
45%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.3 vs 42.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kelty Hearts averaging 1.2 and Montrose averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Kelty Hearts conceding 1.4 and Montrose conceding 1.4 per match.

Kelty Hearts has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Montrose has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Kelty Hearts's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

In their recent Scottish League One match (2026-04-11), Kelty Hearts prevailed 3-1 against Montrose. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Kelty Hearts secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Montrose will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kelty Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts

VS
Montrose

Montrose

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Kelty Hearts

4W 2D 4L · 12 goals scored · 14 conceded

Montrose

4W 1D 5L · 11 goals scored · 14 conceded

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