Kenya vs Algeria Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (55.7 vs 64.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

The attacking output of Kenya and Algeria is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.3 and 1.2 goals per game respectively.

Algeria has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Kenya's 1.6.

Kenya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Algeria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Kenya is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Algeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Algeria is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Kenya shows signs of decline with 2W in last 9.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Algeria. In practical terms, Algeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Algeria has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Internationals Women (2025-11-30). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-11-26), Algeria prevailed 2-1 against Kenya. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Algeria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Kenya will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Algeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.