Kenya vs India Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (55.7 vs 59.0), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Kenya outperforms India with 1.3 goals per match to 0.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Kenya is far superior, conceding just 1.6 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while India leaks 3.1 goals per match.

Kenya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

India has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Kenya is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: India is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 8 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Kenya faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If India can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kenya. In practical terms, Kenya would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Kenya holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 41.6 against 23.2 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-04-11), Kenya prevailed 2-0 against India. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Kenya secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. India will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kenya will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.