Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Hibernian has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 55.8 against considerably stronger competition than Kilmarnock (SoS: 44.2). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Offensively, Kilmarnock outperforms Hibernian with 1.7 goals per match to 1.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Kilmarnock has the defensive edge, conceding 0.5 per match compared to Hibernian's 1.2.

Hibernian has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kilmarnock. In practical terms, Kilmarnock would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Kilmarnock has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-04-04), Hibernian prevailed 3-0 against Kilmarnock. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hibernian secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Hibernian completely dominated Kilmarnock in that encounter, raising serious questions about Kilmarnock's ability to compete at this level. Kilmarnock will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hibernian will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.