Kilmarnock vs Livingston Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.2 vs 44.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kilmarnock averaging 1.7 and Livingston averaging 1.8 goals per match.

Defensively, Kilmarnock is far superior, conceding just 0.5 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Livingston leaks 1.3 goals per match.

Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Kilmarnock is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Livingston shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kilmarnock. In practical terms, Kilmarnock would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Kilmarnock holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-17), Kilmarnock prevailed 1-4 against Livingston. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Kilmarnock achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Livingston shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Kilmarnock completely dominated Livingston in that encounter, raising serious questions about Livingston's ability to compete at this level. Livingston will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kilmarnock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.