Köln vs M'gladbach Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Köln vs M'gladbach: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Köln
Home Team
M'gladbach
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Köln
Draw
M'gladbach
Statistical Comparison
2W, 5D, 3L
4W, 4D, 2L
23 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
+3
+9
1 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
1W / 6 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 86.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 63.7
0W / 5 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.43
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.42
Attack: 82.3, Defense: 35.8, Form: 21.5
Attack: 75.5, Defense: 71.8, Form: 45.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Köln
M'gladbach
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.3 vs 63.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
The attacking output of Köln and M'gladbach is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.3 and 2.0 goals per game respectively.
M'gladbach holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.1 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Köln's leaky backline that surrenders 2.0 goals per match.
Köln has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
M'gladbach has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Köln is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: M'gladbach has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 12.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for M'gladbach. In practical terms, M'gladbach would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward M'gladbach, with a 12.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
These two teams drew 3-3 in the German Bundesliga (2026-03-21). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Köln
M'gladbach
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Köln
2W 5D 3L · 23 goals scored · 20 conceded
M'gladbach
4W 4D 2L · 20 goals scored · 11 conceded
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