Köln vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Köln vs Union Berlin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Köln
Home Team
Union Berlin
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Köln
Draw
Union Berlin
Statistical Comparison
2W, 5D, 3L
2W, 3D, 5L
23 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
+3
-4
1 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 6 matches
1W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 86.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 62.6
0W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.43
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.5
Attack: 82.3, Defense: 35.8, Form: 21.5
Attack: 55.5, Defense: 40.7, Form: 22.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Köln
Union Berlin
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.3 vs 60.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Köln outperforms Union Berlin with 2.3 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Defensively, Köln and Union Berlin are evenly matched, allowing 2.0 and 1.9 goals per game respectively.
Köln has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Union Berlin has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
❄️ Form Momentum: Köln is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Union Berlin is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Köln faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Union Berlin can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 7.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 69% win probability for Köln. In practical terms, Köln would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
Köln has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
These two teams drew 2-2 in the German Bundesliga (2026-05-02). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
0
:
0
|
0'
Köln
Union Berlin
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Köln
2W 5D 3L · 23 goals scored · 20 conceded
Union Berlin
2W 3D 5L · 15 goals scored · 19 conceded
Popular Teams