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Compare Kielce vs Arka

Kielce vs Arka Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kielce vs Arka: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kielce Kielce Home Team
Arka Arka Away Team
Kielce
42.3
D W L D D L D L W L

Last 10 Matches

Arka
30.1
L L D D L L D W L D

Performance Radar

Kielce
Arka

Categories Won

9

Kielce

5

Draw

1

Arka

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 4D, 4L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Błanik (3 goals)
V. Gutkovskis (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.0

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 53.6

42.0

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 55.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.01

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.09

0.91

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
42.3

Attack: 38.5, Defense: 59.5, Form: 21.0

30.1

Attack: 27.6, Defense: 30.7, Form: 9.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

5
2

61-75'

2

76-90+'

1
Kielce
Arka
Kielce

Power Rating Breakdown

42.3

Overall

Attack 38.5
Defense 59.5
Form 21.0
Consistency 64.0
Arka

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 27.6
Defense 30.7
Form 9.2
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

57.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

53.6 vs 55.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Kielce logo Kielce
D
Cracovia (49%)
W
Widzew (54%)
L
Raków (65%)
D
Piast (49%)
D
GKS Katowice (54%)
L
Górnik (69%)
D
Jagiellonia (59%)
L
Lechia (43%)
Arka logo Arka
L
Raków (65%)
L
Nieciecza (43%)
D
Górnik (64%)
D
Lech (72%)
L
Piast (54%)
L
Jagiellonia (59%)
D
Cracovia (49%)
W
Zagłębie (39%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cracovia A
1 - 1 D
49%
Widzew H
1 - 0 W
54%
Raków A
0 - 2 L
65%
Piast H
1 - 1 D
49%
GKS Katowice H
1 - 1 D
54%
Górnik A
0 - 1 L
69%
Jagiellonia H
1 - 1 D
59%
Lechia A
2 - 4 L
43%
Arka H
3 - 0 W
38%
Pogoń A
1 - 2 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Raków A
0 - 3 L
65%
Nieciecza H
2 - 3 L
43%
Górnik H
0 - 0 D
64%
Lech A
1 - 1 D
72%
Piast A
1 - 4 L
54%
Jagiellonia H
0 - 3 L
59%
Cracovia A
2 - 2 D
49%
Zagłębie H
3 - 1 W
39%
Kielce A
0 - 3 L
51%
Widzew H
0 - 0 D
54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Kielce has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 55.0) compared to Arka (SoS: 42.0). This means Kielce's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kielce averaging 1.1 and Arka averaging 0.9 goals per match.

Kielce has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Arka's 2.0.

Kielce has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Kielce has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent Polish Ekstraklasa match (2026-03-22), Kielce prevailed 3-0 against Arka. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Kielce secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Kielce completely dominated Arka in that encounter, raising serious questions about Arka's ability to compete at this level. Arka will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kielce will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kielce

Kielce

VS
Arka

Arka

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Kielce

2W 4D 4L · 11 goals scored · 13 conceded

Arka

1W 4D 5L · 9 goals scored · 20 conceded

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