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Compare KuPS vs HJK

KuPS vs HJK Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare KuPS vs HJK: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

KuPS KuPS Home Team
HJK HJK Away Team
KuPS
41.8
L D W L D D W L W L

Last 10 Matches

HJK
61.8
L W L W D L W W W W

Performance Radar

KuPS
HJK

Categories Won

1

KuPS

1

Draw

13

HJK

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Luyeye-Lutumba (3 goals)
T. Pukki (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
48.5

League Difficulty: 66.7, Opponent Quality: 62.3

55.0

League Difficulty: 58.2, Opponent Quality: 55.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.3

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.1

1.85

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.05

Adjusted Power Rating
41.8

Attack: 39.4, Defense: 52.5, Form: 29.6

61.8

Attack: 63.0, Defense: 70.0, Form: 63.0

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

4
3

16-30'

2

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

3
1

76-90+'

2
KuPS
HJK
KuPS

Power Rating Breakdown

41.8

Overall

Attack 39.4
Defense 52.5
Form 29.6
Consistency 53.2
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

61.8

Overall

Attack 63.0
Defense 70.0
Form 63.0
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

66.7 vs 58.2

Opponent Quality

62.3 vs 55.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
KuPS logo KuPS
L
Mariehamn (29%)
D
Shamrock (69%)
W
Lahti (59%)
L
U Craiova (70%)
D
TPS (50%)
D
U Craiova (65%)
W
Gnistan (58%)
L
Sabah (85%)
HJK logo HJK
L
Gnistan (54%)
W
Jaro (33%)
L
Motherwell (70%)
W
Oulu (43%)
D
Motherwell (65%)
L
SJK (44%)
W
Coleraine (73%)
W
TPS (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mariehamn H
2 - 4 L
29%
Shamrock A
1 - 1 D
69%
Lahti A
2 - 1 W
59%
U Craiova A
1 - 2 L
70%
TPS H
1 - 1 D
50%
U Craiova H
1 - 1 D
65%
Gnistan A
1 - 0 W
58%
Sabah H
0 - 2 L
85%
VPS H
3 - 1 W
50%
Sabah A
0 - 1 L
88%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gnistan H
2 - 3 L
54%
Jaro H
3 - 0 W
33%
Motherwell A
0 - 2 L
70%
Oulu A
1 - 0 W
43%
Motherwell H
1 - 1 D
65%
SJK A
0 - 3 L
44%
Coleraine A
3 - 0 W
73%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
50%
Coleraine H
5 - 0 W
68%
VPS H
2 - 1 W
50%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.5 vs 55.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

HJK holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus KuPS's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, HJK holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against KuPS's 1.4.

KuPS has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: HJK has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. HJK is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while KuPS shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for HJK. In practical terms, HJK would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

HJK emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (61.8 vs 41.8) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

KuPS

KuPS

VS
HJK

HJK

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

KuPS

3W 3D 4L · 12 goals scored · 14 conceded

HJK

6W 1D 3L · 18 goals scored · 10 conceded

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