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Compare KuPS vs Jaro

KuPS vs Jaro Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare KuPS vs Jaro: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

KuPS KuPS Home Team
Jaro Jaro Away Team
KuPS
74.1
W W W W D D W W D D

Last 10 Matches

Jaro
27.9
W L D L L L W L L L

Performance Radar

KuPS
Jaro

Categories Won

12

KuPS

2

Draw

1

Jaro

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 4D, 0L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

2.7

27 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+12

+12

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Moreno (4 goals)
H. Sjögrell (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
62.5

League Difficulty: 50.2, Opponent Quality: 49.7

48.7

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.04

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.04

1.08

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
74.1

Attack: 75.0, Defense: 82.5, Form: 67.5

27.9

Attack: 36.2, Defense: 9.9, Form: 19.7

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

4
9

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

3

76-90+'

1
KuPS
Jaro
KuPS

Power Rating Breakdown

74.1

Overall

Attack 75.0
Defense 82.5
Form 67.5
Consistency 71.2
Jaro

Power Rating Breakdown

27.9

Overall

Attack 36.2
Defense 9.9
Form 19.7
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.2 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

49.7 vs 51.2

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
KuPS logo KuPS
W
Vardar (92%)
W
HJK (54%)
W
Ilves (46%)
W
TPS (46%)
D
VPS (63%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Lahti (43%)
W
Jaro (29%)
Jaro logo Jaro
W
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)
D
Gnistan (56%)
L
Ilves (51%)
L
HJK (49%)
L
Oulu (54%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
KuPS (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Vardar A
2 - 0 W
92%
HJK A
4 - 0 W
54%
Ilves H
4 - 3 W
46%
TPS A
2 - 1 W
46%
VPS A
1 - 1 D
63%
Inter Turku H
1 - 1 D
56%
Lahti H
2 - 1 W
43%
Jaro H
3 - 0 W
29%
Mariehamn A
1 - 1 D
27%
SJK H
0 - 0 D
41%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ilves H
2 - 1 W
46%
TPS A
2 - 3 L
46%
Gnistan H
1 - 1 D
56%
Ilves A
0 - 5 L
51%
HJK H
2 - 5 L
49%
Oulu A
1 - 2 L
54%
Mariehamn H
3 - 0 W
22%
KuPS A
0 - 3 L
67%
Gnistan A
0 - 5 L
60%
Inter Turku A
0 - 2 L
61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

KuPS has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 62.5) compared to Jaro (SoS: 48.7). This means KuPS's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

KuPS holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Jaro's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, KuPS is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Jaro leaks 2.7 per match.

Jaro has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

KuPS is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, KuPS is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (75.0), defense (82.5), and form (67.5) leaves little room for doubt. Jaro will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In their recent Finnish Veikkausliiga match (2026-05-20), KuPS prevailed 3-0 against Jaro. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. KuPS secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — KuPS completely dominated Jaro in that encounter, raising serious questions about Jaro's ability to compete at this level. Jaro will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. KuPS will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

KuPS

KuPS

VS
Jaro

Jaro

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

KuPS

6W 4D 0L · 20 goals scored · 8 conceded

Jaro

2W 1D 7L · 11 goals scored · 27 conceded

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