Larissa vs Asteras Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.4 vs 49.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Larissa averaging 1.2 and Asteras averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Asteras has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Larissa's 1.7.

Larissa has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Asteras has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Asteras has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Larissa is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Asteras has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Asteras is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Larissa shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Asteras faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Larissa can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 80% win probability for Asteras. In practical terms, Asteras would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Asteras, with a 12.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Greek Super League (2026-05-09). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-04-04), Asteras prevailed 3-1 against Larissa. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Asteras secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Larissa will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Asteras will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.