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Compare Larissa vs Asteras

Larissa vs Asteras Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Larissa vs Asteras: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Larissa Larissa Home Team
Asteras Asteras Away Team
Larissa
38.5
L W D D D L D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Asteras
57.9
W D W D W L W D D W

Performance Radar

Larissa
Asteras

Categories Won

2

Larissa

4

Draw

9

Asteras

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 4D, 5L

50%

5W, 4D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ľ. Tupta (5 goals)
F. Macheda (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.2

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 54.7

52.9

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 50.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.33

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.13

1.41

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
38.5

Attack: 42.1, Defense: 45.6, Form: 10.5

57.9

Attack: 48.0, Defense: 75.5, Form: 51.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

3
4

46-60'

3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

2
Larissa
Asteras
Larissa

Power Rating Breakdown

38.5

Overall

Attack 42.1
Defense 45.6
Form 10.5
Consistency 75.7
Asteras

Power Rating Breakdown

57.9

Overall

Attack 48.0
Defense 75.5
Form 51.4
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

56.0 vs 56.0

Opponent Quality

54.7 vs 50.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Larissa logo Larissa
L
Kifisia (57%)
W
Atromitos (59%)
D
Panaitolikos (51%)
D
Asteras (60%)
D
Panserraikos (49%)
L
Panserraikos (44%)
D
Kifisia (52%)
L
Atromitos (64%)
Asteras logo Asteras
W
Panaitolikos (51%)
D
Kifisia (52%)
W
Panserraikos (44%)
D
Larissa (46%)
W
Atromitos (59%)
L
Atromitos (64%)
W
Panaitolikos (46%)
D
Kifisia (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Kifisia A
2 - 3 L
57%
Atromitos H
2 - 1 W
59%
Panaitolikos A
1 - 1 D
51%
Asteras H
1 - 1 D
60%
Panserraikos A
1 - 1 D
49%
Panserraikos H
0 - 1 L
44%
Kifisia H
1 - 1 D
52%
Atromitos A
2 - 3 L
64%
Panaitolikos H
1 - 2 L
46%
Asteras A
1 - 3 L
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panaitolikos A
2 - 1 W
51%
Kifisia H
0 - 0 D
52%
Panserraikos H
1 - 0 W
44%
Larissa A
1 - 1 D
46%
Atromitos H
4 - 2 W
59%
Atromitos A
1 - 2 L
64%
Panaitolikos H
2 - 1 W
46%
Kifisia A
0 - 0 D
57%
Panserraikos A
0 - 0 D
49%
Larissa H
3 - 1 W
41%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.2 vs 52.9), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Larissa averaging 1.2 and Asteras averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Defensively, Asteras is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Larissa leaks 1.7 per match.

Larissa has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Asteras has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Asteras, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Asteras emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (57.9 vs 38.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Greek Super League (2026-05-09). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-04-04), Asteras prevailed 3-1 against Larissa. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Asteras secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Larissa will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Asteras will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Larissa

Larissa

VS
Asteras

Asteras

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Larissa

1W 4D 5L · 12 goals scored · 17 conceded

Asteras

5W 4D 1L · 14 goals scored · 8 conceded

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