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Compare Larne vs Ballymena Utd

Larne vs Ballymena Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Larne vs Ballymena Utd: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Larne Larne Home Team
Ballymena Utd Ballymena Utd Away Team
Larne
52.8
W D L D L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Ballymena Utd
52.2
L L W D D W W W D L

Performance Radar

Larne
Ballymena Utd

Categories Won

7

Larne

2

Draw

6

Ballymena Utd

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Lusty (4 goals)
S. Edogun (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 18
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

44%

4W / 9 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.4

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 67.4

46.3

League Difficulty: 43.8, Opponent Quality: 48.0

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.32

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.08

1.81

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.29

Adjusted Power Rating
52.8

Attack: 51.5, Defense: 66.2, Form: 44.2

52.2

Attack: 67.4, Defense: 51.4, Form: 38.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

Larne
Ballymena Utd
Larne

Power Rating Breakdown

52.8

Overall

Attack 51.5
Defense 66.2
Form 44.2
Consistency 50.5
Ballymena Utd

Power Rating Breakdown

52.2

Overall

Attack 67.4
Defense 51.4
Form 38.5
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 43.8

Opponent Quality

67.4 vs 48.0

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Larne logo Larne
W
Red Imps (59%)
D
Coleraine (59%)
L
Iberia (70%)
D
Iberia (67%)
L
Red Star (88%)
L
Red Star (83%)
W
Tre Fiori (68%)
W
Tre Fiori (70%)
Ballymena Utd logo Ballymena Utd
L
Glentoran (45%)
L
Crusaders (55%)
W
Linfield (53%)
D
Glenavon (39%)
D
Annagh Utd (45%)
W
Portstewart (43%)
W
Carrick (62%)
W
Dundela (39%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Red Imps A
2 - 0 W
59%
Coleraine A
0 - 0 D
59%
Iberia A
1 - 2 L
70%
Iberia H
0 - 0 D
67%
Red Star A
0 - 5 L
88%
Red Star H
0 - 4 L
83%
Tre Fiori H
2 - 1 W
68%
Tre Fiori A
1 - 0 W
70%
Coleraine H
0 - 0 D
55%
Dungannon H
8 - 0 W
55%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Glentoran H
0 - 2 L
45%
Crusaders A
1 - 2 L
55%
Linfield A
3 - 0 W
53%
Glenavon A
1 - 1 D
39%
Annagh Utd A
2 - 2 D
45%
Portstewart A
5 - 1 W
43%
Carrick A
3 - 0 W
62%
Dundela A
3 - 2 W
39%
Queen's Uni A
1 - 1 D
44%
Crusaders A
2 - 3 L
55%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Larne has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 60.4) compared to Ballymena Utd (SoS: 46.3). This means Larne's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Ballymena Utd holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Larne's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Larne conceding 1.2 and Ballymena Utd conceding 1.4 per match.

Larne has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Larne has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Ballymena Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Larne's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Larne

Larne

VS
Ballymena Utd

Ballymena Utd

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Larne

4W 3D 3L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded

Ballymena Utd

4W 3D 3L · 21 goals scored · 14 conceded

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