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Compare Larne vs Ballymena Utd

Larne vs Ballymena Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Larne vs Ballymena Utd: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Larne Larne Home Team
Ballymena Utd Ballymena Utd Away Team
Larne
65.4
W D W D W L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Ballymena Utd
39.6
L L D W D D W D L D

Performance Radar

Larne
Ballymena Utd

Categories Won

12

Larne

1

Draw

2

Ballymena Utd

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

20%

2W, 5D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
70%

7 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Ryan (8 goals)
S. Edogun (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

14%

1W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
50.7

League Difficulty: 48.1, Opponent Quality: 54.2

43.3

League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 44.2

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.78

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.22

1.26

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.14

Adjusted Power Rating
65.4

Attack: 67.1, Defense: 77.2, Form: 60.4

39.6

Attack: 43.5, Defense: 43.5, Form: 18.7

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

3

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

2
6

61-75'

5
3

76-90+'

3
Larne
Ballymena Utd
Larne

Power Rating Breakdown

65.4

Overall

Attack 67.1
Defense 77.2
Form 60.4
Consistency 52.0
Ballymena Utd

Power Rating Breakdown

39.6

Overall

Attack 43.5
Defense 43.5
Form 18.7
Consistency 67.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

48.1 vs 42.0

Opponent Quality

54.2 vs 44.2

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Larne logo Larne
W
Tre Fiori (92%)
D
Coleraine (69%)
W
Dungannon (27%)
D
Glentoran (57%)
W
Linfield (46%)
L
Coleraine (67%)
L
Coleraine (74%)
W
Cliftonville (32%)
Ballymena Utd logo Ballymena Utd
L
Crusaders (48%)
L
Portadown (37%)
D
Bangor (34%)
W
Carrick (52%)
D
Glenavon (46%)
D
Cliftonville (37%)
W
Carrick (47%)
D
Portadown (37%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tre Fiori A
1 - 0 W
92%
Coleraine H
0 - 0 D
69%
Dungannon H
8 - 0 W
27%
Glentoran A
0 - 0 D
57%
Linfield A
2 - 0 W
46%
Coleraine H
1 - 4 L
67%
Coleraine A
1 - 2 L
74%
Cliftonville H
2 - 0 W
32%
Glenavon A
3 - 0 W
51%
Dungannon H
2 - 1 W
27%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Crusaders A
2 - 3 L
48%
Portadown H
1 - 2 L
37%
Bangor H
0 - 0 D
34%
Carrick A
3 - 2 W
52%
Glenavon H
1 - 1 D
46%
Cliftonville A
2 - 2 D
37%
Carrick H
2 - 1 W
47%
Portadown H
1 - 1 D
37%
Larne H
0 - 2 L
58%
Glenavon H
2 - 2 D
46%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 50.7 vs 43.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Larne holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Ballymena Utd's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Larne is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 7 clean sheets, while Ballymena Utd leaks 1.6 per match.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Larne is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Larne emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.4 vs 39.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-02-28), Larne prevailed 0-2 against Ballymena Utd. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Larne achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Ballymena Utd shows genuine quality and mental strength. Ballymena Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Larne will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Larne

Larne

VS
Ballymena Utd

Ballymena Utd

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Larne

6W 2D 2L · 20 goals scored · 7 conceded

Ballymena Utd

2W 5D 3L · 14 goals scored · 16 conceded

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