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Compare Larne vs Carrick

Larne vs Carrick Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Larne vs Carrick: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Larne Larne Home Team
Carrick Carrick Away Team
Larne
65.4
W D W D W L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Carrick
48.7
L W W L D W W L L D

Performance Radar

Larne
Carrick

Categories Won

9

Larne

3

Draw

3

Carrick

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Ryan (8 goals)
D. Gibson (8 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
50.7

League Difficulty: 48.1, Opponent Quality: 54.2

42.5

League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 42.8

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.78

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.22

1.85

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
65.4

Attack: 67.1, Defense: 77.2, Form: 60.4

48.7

Attack: 61.7, Defense: 49.3, Form: 37.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

2
6

61-75'

6
3

76-90+'

5
Larne
Carrick
Larne

Power Rating Breakdown

65.4

Overall

Attack 67.1
Defense 77.2
Form 60.4
Consistency 52.0
Carrick

Power Rating Breakdown

48.7

Overall

Attack 61.7
Defense 49.3
Form 37.0
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

48.1 vs 42.0

Opponent Quality

54.2 vs 42.8

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Larne logo Larne
W
Tre Fiori (92%)
D
Coleraine (69%)
W
Dungannon (27%)
D
Glentoran (57%)
W
Linfield (46%)
L
Coleraine (67%)
L
Coleraine (74%)
W
Cliftonville (32%)
Carrick logo Carrick
L
Dungannon (32%)
W
Glenavon (51%)
W
Bangor (39%)
L
Ballymena Utd (42%)
D
Portadown (42%)
W
Crusaders (43%)
W
Linfield (41%)
L
Ballymena Utd (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tre Fiori A
1 - 0 W
92%
Coleraine H
0 - 0 D
69%
Dungannon H
8 - 0 W
27%
Glentoran A
0 - 0 D
57%
Linfield A
2 - 0 W
46%
Coleraine H
1 - 4 L
67%
Coleraine A
1 - 2 L
74%
Cliftonville H
2 - 0 W
32%
Glenavon A
3 - 0 W
51%
Dungannon H
2 - 1 W
27%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Dungannon A
1 - 3 L
32%
Glenavon A
3 - 2 W
51%
Bangor A
3 - 0 W
39%
Ballymena Utd H
2 - 3 L
42%
Portadown A
1 - 1 D
42%
Crusaders H
6 - 1 W
43%
Linfield H
2 - 0 W
41%
Ballymena Utd A
1 - 2 L
47%
Glentoran A
0 - 1 L
57%
Bangor H
1 - 1 D
34%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 50.7 vs 42.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Larne averaging 2.0 and Carrick averaging 2.0 goals per match.

Larne has the defensive edge, conceding 0.7 per match compared to Carrick's 1.4.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Larne is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Larne emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.4 vs 48.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Larne

Larne

VS
Carrick

Carrick

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Larne

6W 2D 2L · 20 goals scored · 7 conceded

Carrick

4W 2D 4L · 20 goals scored · 14 conceded

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