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Compare Larne vs Coleraine

Larne vs Coleraine Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Larne vs Coleraine: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Larne Larne Home Team
Coleraine Coleraine Away Team
Larne
52.8
W D L D L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Coleraine
53.0
W D W L L W W D W W

Performance Radar

Larne
Coleraine

Categories Won

4

Larne

2

Draw

9

Coleraine

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Lusty (4 goals)
M. Shevlin (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.4

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 67.4

39.8

League Difficulty: 50.4, Opponent Quality: 56.2

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.32

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.08

1.69

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.21

Adjusted Power Rating
52.8

Attack: 51.5, Defense: 66.2, Form: 44.2

53.0

Attack: 56.9, Defense: 47.9, Form: 53.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

2

46-60'

7
3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

3
Larne
Coleraine
Larne

Power Rating Breakdown

52.8

Overall

Attack 51.5
Defense 66.2
Form 44.2
Consistency 50.5
Coleraine

Power Rating Breakdown

53.0

Overall

Attack 56.9
Defense 47.9
Form 53.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 50.4

Opponent Quality

67.4 vs 56.2

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Larne logo Larne
W
Red Imps (59%)
D
Coleraine (59%)
L
Iberia (70%)
D
Iberia (67%)
L
Red Star (88%)
L
Red Star (83%)
W
Tre Fiori (68%)
W
Tre Fiori (70%)
Coleraine logo Coleraine
W
Carrick (61%)
D
Larne (47%)
W
Dungannon (60%)
L
HJK (68%)
L
HJK (73%)
W
Portadown (43%)
W
Sligo (49%)
D
Larne (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Red Imps A
2 - 0 W
59%
Coleraine A
0 - 0 D
59%
Iberia A
1 - 2 L
70%
Iberia H
0 - 0 D
67%
Red Star A
0 - 5 L
88%
Red Star H
0 - 4 L
83%
Tre Fiori H
2 - 1 W
68%
Tre Fiori A
1 - 0 W
70%
Coleraine H
0 - 0 D
55%
Dungannon H
8 - 0 W
55%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Carrick A
2 - 0 W
61%
Larne H
0 - 0 D
47%
Dungannon A
3 - 1 W
60%
HJK H
0 - 3 L
68%
HJK A
0 - 5 L
73%
Portadown H
3 - 0 W
43%
Sligo A
2 - 1 W
49%
Larne A
0 - 0 D
54%
Dungannon A
3 - 2 W
62%
Glentoran H
6 - 2 W
45%

AI Analysis

Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.

Larne has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 60.4) compared to Coleraine (SoS: 39.8). This means Larne's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Offensively, Coleraine outperforms Larne with 1.9 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Larne and Coleraine are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Larne has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Coleraine is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Larne has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Coleraine has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Larne's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Irish Premiership (2026-08-15). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In the Northern Ireland Charity Shield (2026-07-03), Larne eliminated Coleraine with a 0-0 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Larne showed they can handle the pressure. Larne secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Coleraine will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Larne will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Larne

Larne

VS
Coleraine

Coleraine

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Larne

4W 3D 3L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded

Coleraine

6W 2D 2L · 19 goals scored · 14 conceded

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