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Compare Larne vs Glentoran

Larne vs Glentoran Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Larne vs Glentoran: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Larne Larne Home Team
Glentoran Glentoran Away Team
Larne
52.8
W D L D L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Glentoran
43.7
W L W L L L D W W D

Performance Radar

Larne
Glentoran

Categories Won

5

Larne

7

Draw

3

Glentoran

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Lusty (4 goals)
J. Stewart (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.4

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 67.4

39.4

League Difficulty: 49.2, Opponent Quality: 56.4

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.32

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.08

1.5

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.1

Adjusted Power Rating
52.8

Attack: 51.5, Defense: 66.2, Form: 44.2

43.7

Attack: 47.7, Defense: 47.7, Form: 35.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

5
2

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

5
Larne
Glentoran
Larne

Power Rating Breakdown

52.8

Overall

Attack 51.5
Defense 66.2
Form 44.2
Consistency 50.5
Glentoran

Power Rating Breakdown

43.7

Overall

Attack 47.7
Defense 47.7
Form 35.8
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 49.2

Opponent Quality

67.4 vs 56.4

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Larne logo Larne
W
Red Imps (59%)
D
Coleraine (59%)
L
Iberia (70%)
D
Iberia (67%)
L
Red Star (88%)
L
Red Star (83%)
W
Tre Fiori (68%)
W
Tre Fiori (70%)
Glentoran logo Glentoran
W
Ballymena Utd (55%)
L
Linfield (53%)
W
Limavady Utd (44%)
L
RFS (73%)
L
RFS (70%)
L
Coleraine (59%)
D
Larne (47%)
W
Dungannon (55%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Red Imps A
2 - 0 W
59%
Coleraine A
0 - 0 D
59%
Iberia A
1 - 2 L
70%
Iberia H
0 - 0 D
67%
Red Star A
0 - 5 L
88%
Red Star H
0 - 4 L
83%
Tre Fiori H
2 - 1 W
68%
Tre Fiori A
1 - 0 W
70%
Coleraine H
0 - 0 D
55%
Dungannon H
8 - 0 W
55%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ballymena Utd A
2 - 0 W
55%
Linfield A
1 - 2 L
53%
Limavady Utd H
2 - 0 W
44%
RFS A
0 - 2 L
73%
RFS H
1 - 2 L
70%
Coleraine A
2 - 6 L
59%
Larne H
0 - 0 D
47%
Dungannon H
5 - 0 W
55%
Cliftonville A
2 - 1 W
60%
Linfield H
1 - 1 D
48%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Context matters here: Larne's schedule strength (SoS: 60.4) has been notably more demanding than Glentoran's (SoS: 39.4), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

The attacking output of Larne and Glentoran is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.4 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, Larne and Glentoran are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Larne has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Larne has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Larne. In practical terms, Larne would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Larne holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 9.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Irish Premiership (2026-04-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Larne

Larne

VS
Glentoran

Glentoran

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Larne

4W 3D 3L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded

Glentoran

4W 2D 4L · 16 goals scored · 14 conceded

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