Latvia vs Albania Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 53.0 vs 53.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Albania leads the attacking statistics, averaging 0.9 goals per game compared to Latvia's 0.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Latvia giving up 1.2 and Albania giving up 0.9 per fixture.

Albania is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 1.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Latvia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Albania has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Albania is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Latvia shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Albania. In practical terms, Albania would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Albania, with a 10.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-09-09): Albania defeated Latvia 1-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Albania's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Latvia. Albania secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Latvia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Albania will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-06-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.