Latvia vs Serbia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.0 vs 56.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Serbia leads the attacking statistics, averaging 0.9 goals per game compared to Latvia's 0.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Latvia is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Serbia leaks 2.2 goals per match.

Serbia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Latvia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Serbia's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-11-16): Serbia defeated Latvia 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Serbia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Latvia. Serbia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Latvia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Serbia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-09-06): Serbia defeated Latvia 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Serbia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Latvia. Notably, Serbia achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Latvia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Latvia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Serbia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.