Le Havre vs Lyon Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Le Havre vs Lyon: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Le Havre
Home Team
Lyon
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Le Havre
Draw
Lyon
Statistical Comparison
2W, 5D, 3L
5W, 1D, 4L
15 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
0
-1
1 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
1W / 5 matches
4W / 7 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 3 matches
League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 64.3
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 66.6
0W / 4 matches
3W / 4 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.17
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44
Attack: 51.8, Defense: 51.8, Form: 20.7
Attack: 62.4, Defense: 58.2, Form: 62.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Le Havre
Lyon
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Lyon has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 74.8) compared to Le Havre (SoS: 53.6). This means Lyon's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
The attacking output of Le Havre and Lyon is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.5 and 1.5 goals per game respectively.
Defensively, Le Havre and Lyon are evenly matched, allowing 1.5 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.
Le Havre has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Lyon has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Le Havre is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Lyon has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Lyon is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Le Havre shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Lyon faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Le Havre can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Lyon. In practical terms, Lyon would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While Lyon holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Le Havre
Lyon
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Le Havre
2W 5D 3L · 15 goals scored · 15 conceded
Lyon
5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
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