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Compare Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lecce vs Inter Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lecce Lecce Home Team
Inter Milan Inter Milan Away Team
Lecce
51.7
D L W W W L W D D L

Last 10 Matches

Inter Milan
83.6
W D D W W W D W W W

Performance Radar

Lecce
Inter Milan

Categories Won

1

Lecce

1

Draw

13

Inter Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

70%

7W, 3D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

2.5

25 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+13

+13

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
W. Cheddira (3 goals)
M. Thuram (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 17
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.0

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 59.7

68.7

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.24

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.24

2.77

Actual: 2.5 | Diff: -0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
51.7

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 76.0, Form: 45.6

83.6

Attack: 98.9, Defense: 71.2, Form: 83.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

7
2

61-75'

4
1

76-90+'

8
Lecce
Inter Milan
Lecce

Power Rating Breakdown

51.7

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 76.0
Form 45.6
Consistency 50.5
Inter Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

83.6

Overall

Attack 98.9
Defense 71.2
Form 83.1
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 76.5

Opponent Quality

59.7 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 67%
Lecce logo Lecce
D
Istra (43%)
L
SSU Poli (47%)
W
Szombathelyi (43%)
W
Genoa (60%)
W
Sassuolo (80%)
L
Juventus (73%)
W
Pisa (52%)
D
Verona (69%)
Inter Milan logo Inter Milan
W
Karlsruhe (41%)
D
Bologna (63%)
D
Verona (64%)
W
Lazio (52%)
W
Lazio (70%)
W
Parma (57%)
D
Torino (70%)
W
Como (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Istra H
2 - 2 D
43%
SSU Poli H
0 - 1 L
47%
Szombathelyi A
1 - 0 W
43%
Genoa H
1 - 0 W
60%
Sassuolo A
3 - 2 W
80%
Juventus H
0 - 1 L
73%
Pisa A
2 - 1 W
52%
Verona A
0 - 0 D
69%
Fiorentina H
1 - 1 D
67%
Bologna A
0 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Karlsruhe A
2 - 1 W
41%
Bologna A
3 - 3 D
63%
Verona H
1 - 1 D
64%
Lazio A
2 - 0 W
52%
Lazio A
3 - 0 W
70%
Parma H
2 - 0 W
57%
Torino A
2 - 2 D
70%
Como H
3 - 2 W
54%
Cagliari H
3 - 0 W
62%
Como A
4 - 3 W
77%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.0 vs 68.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Inter Milan possess a formidable attacking unit, with M. Thuram accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.5 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Both defenses are comparable, with Lecce conceding 1.0 and Inter Milan conceding 1.2 per match.

Inter Milan has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Inter Milan has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Inter Milan is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Lecce has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Inter Milan is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 25 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Inter Milan is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Lecce shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 31.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Inter Milan. In practical terms, Inter Milan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Inter Milan holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 83.6 against 51.7 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Inter Milan a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lecce

Lecce

VS
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Lecce

4W 3D 3L · 10 goals scored · 10 conceded

Inter Milan

7W 3D 0L · 25 goals scored · 12 conceded

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