Leicester vs Watford Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Leicester vs Watford: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Leicester
Home Team
Watford
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Leicester
Draw
Watford
Statistical Comparison
2W, 6D, 2L
2W, 2D, 6L
11 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
0
-11
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
0W / 4 matches
2W / 6 matches
2W / 6 matches
0W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 61.0, Opponent Quality: 52.6
League Difficulty: 63.0, Opponent Quality: 57.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.09
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.01
Attack: 38.9, Defense: 67.1, Form: 21.2
Attack: 28.6, Defense: 31.7, Form: 19.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Leicester
Watford
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Leicester has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 56.0) compared to Watford (SoS: 45.2). This means Leicester's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Leicester averaging 1.1 and Watford averaging 0.9 goals per match.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Leicester — 1.1 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Watford, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.
Leicester has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Leicester is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Watford is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
💡 Why This Matters: The 14.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Leicester. In practical terms, Leicester would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Leicester has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
These two teams drew 0-0 in the Championship (2026-03-21). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Leicester
Watford
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Leicester
2W 6D 2L · 11 goals scored · 11 conceded
Watford
2W 2D 6L · 9 goals scored · 20 conceded
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