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Compare Lens vs Toulouse

Lens vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lens vs Toulouse: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lens Lens Home Team
Toulouse Toulouse Away Team
Lens
64.1
W W L W D D W W L W

Last 10 Matches

Toulouse
43.2
D W W D L L L L W W

Performance Radar

Lens
Toulouse

Categories Won

8

Lens

3

Draw

4

Toulouse

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
F. Thauvin (5 goals)
Emersonn (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
83%

5W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
51.7

League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 58.8

55.6

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 65.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.67

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: -0.27

1.82

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.32

Adjusted Power Rating
64.1

Attack: 81.4, Defense: 54.2, Form: 61.0

43.2

Attack: 52.8, Defense: 31.7, Form: 42.2

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

5
4

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

1
5

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

5
Lens
Toulouse
Lens

Power Rating Breakdown

64.1

Overall

Attack 81.4
Defense 54.2
Form 61.0
Consistency 52.0
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

43.2

Overall

Attack 52.8
Defense 31.7
Form 42.2
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

77.8 vs 81.9

Opponent Quality

58.8 vs 65.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Lens logo Lens
W
Nice (47%)
W
Lyon (66%)
L
Paris SG (71%)
W
Nantes (53%)
D
Nice (68%)
D
Brest (53%)
W
Toulouse (43%)
W
Toulouse (59%)
Toulouse logo Toulouse
D
Nantes (58%)
W
Lyon (61%)
W
Strasbourg (65%)
D
Monaco (67%)
L
Lens (63%)
L
Lens (79%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nice H
3 - 1 W
47%
Lyon A
4 - 0 W
66%
Paris SG H
0 - 2 L
71%
Nantes H
1 - 0 W
53%
Nice A
1 - 1 D
68%
Brest A
3 - 3 D
53%
Toulouse H
4 - 1 W
43%
Toulouse H
3 - 2 W
59%
Lille A
0 - 3 L
78%
Angers H
5 - 1 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nantes A
0 - 0 D
58%
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
61%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
65%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
67%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
63%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
79%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
76%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
61%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
50%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.7 vs 55.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Lens holds the attacking edge with 2.4 goals per match versus Toulouse's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Lens has the defensive edge, conceding 1.4 per match compared to Toulouse's 2.1.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Lens, who boasts a 83% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Lens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.1 vs 43.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Coupe de France match (2026-04-21), Lens prevailed 4-1 against Toulouse. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Lens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Lens completely dominated Toulouse in that encounter, raising serious questions about Toulouse's ability to compete at this level. Toulouse will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Lens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In the French Ligue 1 (2026-04-17), Lens beat Toulouse 3-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Lens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Toulouse will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Lens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lens

Lens

VS
Toulouse

Toulouse

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Lens

6W 2D 2L · 24 goals scored · 14 conceded

Toulouse

4W 2D 4L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded

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