Lille vs Red Star Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Lille vs Red Star: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Lille
Home Team
Red Star
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Lille
Draw
Red Star
Statistical Comparison
6W, 2D, 2L
6W, 2D, 2L
16 / 10 matches
25 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
+10
+16
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
4W / 6 matches
4W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 64.8
League Difficulty: 59.2, Opponent Quality: 53.6
2W / 4 matches
1W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.03
Actual: 2.5 | Diff: -0.22
Attack: 62.0, Defense: 93.0, Form: 69.8
Attack: 97.8, Defense: 82.2, Form: 70.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Lille
Red Star
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 66.3 vs 67.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Red Star holds the attacking edge with 2.5 goals per match versus Lille's 1.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Defensively, Lille holds the advantage — allowing just 0.6 goals per game against Red Star's 0.9.
Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Lille is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Lille has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Red Star has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Lille has won 6 of their last 5, while Red Star has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Red Star. In practical terms, Red Star would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Red Star holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Lille
Red Star
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Lille
6W 2D 2L · 16 goals scored · 6 conceded
Red Star
6W 2D 2L · 25 goals scored · 9 conceded
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