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Compare Limavady Utd vs Carrick

Limavady Utd vs Carrick Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Limavady Utd vs Carrick: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Limavady Utd Limavady Utd Home Team
Carrick Carrick Away Team
Limavady Utd
45.2
L L W L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Carrick
61.0
L W W W W L W W L W

Performance Radar

Limavady Utd
Carrick

Categories Won

3

Limavady Utd

2

Draw

10

Carrick

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

4W, 0D, 4L

70%

7W, 0D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

9 / 8 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

9 / 8 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
25%

2 / 8 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
38%

3 / 8 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
38%

3 / 8 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. McNickle (1 goals)
P. Heatley (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 21
Home Win Rate
57%

4W / 7 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 1 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.5

League Difficulty: 44.2, Opponent Quality: 48.0

44.8

League Difficulty: 43.5, Opponent Quality: 45.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.94

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.18

2.13

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
45.2

Attack: 35.4, Defense: 61.1, Form: 48.3

61.0

Attack: 75.8, Defense: 47.4, Form: 66.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

1

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

1

61-75'

2

76-90+'

1
Limavady Utd
Carrick
Limavady Utd

Power Rating Breakdown

45.2

Overall

Attack 35.4
Defense 61.1
Form 48.3
Consistency 32.5
Carrick

Power Rating Breakdown

61.0

Overall

Attack 75.8
Defense 47.4
Form 66.4
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

44.2 vs 43.5

Opponent Quality

48.0 vs 45.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Limavady Utd logo Limavady Utd
L
Carrick (56%)
L
Glentoran (50%)
W
Strabane (39%)
L
Linfield (49%)
W
Institute (44%)
L
Coleraine (55%)
W
Linfield (49%)
W
Lisburn Rng. (42%)
Carrick logo Carrick
L
Coleraine (54%)
W
Limavady Utd (48%)
W
Portadown (42%)
W
Ballyclare (38%)
W
Ards (37%)
L
Ballymena Utd (51%)
W
Queen's Uni (44%)
W
Welders (45%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Carrick H
1 - 2 L
56%
Glentoran A
0 - 2 L
50%
Strabane H
1 - 0 W
39%
Linfield H
0 - 1 L
49%
Institute H
2 - 1 W
44%
Coleraine H
0 - 2 L
55%
Linfield H
1 - 0 W
49%
Lisburn Rng. H
4 - 1 W
42%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Coleraine H
0 - 2 L
54%
Limavady Utd A
2 - 1 W
48%
Portadown H
1 - 0 W
42%
Ballyclare A
8 - 1 W
38%
Ards H
1 - 0 W
37%
Ballymena Utd H
0 - 3 L
51%
Queen's Uni A
5 - 3 W
44%
Welders A
3 - 0 W
45%
Dungannon A
1 - 3 L
60%
Glenavon A
3 - 2 W
38%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.5 vs 44.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Few sides can match Carrick in front of goal. Their 2.4 average per fixture tells the story, with P. Heatley driving that output personally responsible for 2 goals this campaign.

Limavady Utd's backline outperforms Carrick's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.

Limavady Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Limavady Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 8 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Carrick is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Carrick is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Limavady Utd shows signs of decline with 4W in last 8.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Carrick faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Limavady Utd can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Carrick. In practical terms, Carrick would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Carrick emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (61.0 vs 45.2) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-08-15), Carrick prevailed 1-2 against Limavady Utd. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Carrick achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Limavady Utd shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Limavady Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Carrick will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Limavady Utd

Limavady Utd

VS
Carrick

Carrick

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Limavady Utd

4W 0D 4L · 9 goals scored · 9 conceded

Carrick

7W 0D 3L · 24 goals scored · 15 conceded

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