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Compare Limavady Utd vs Coleraine

Limavady Utd vs Coleraine Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Limavady Utd vs Coleraine: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Limavady Utd Limavady Utd Home Team
Coleraine Coleraine Away Team
Limavady Utd
45.2
L L W L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Coleraine
53.0
W D W L L W W D W W

Performance Radar

Limavady Utd
Coleraine

Categories Won

3

Limavady Utd

2

Draw

10

Coleraine

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

4W, 0D, 4L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

9 / 8 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

9 / 8 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
25%

2 / 8 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
38%

3 / 8 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
38%

3 / 8 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. McNickle (1 goals)
M. Shevlin (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
57%

4W / 7 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 1 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.5

League Difficulty: 44.2, Opponent Quality: 48.0

39.8

League Difficulty: 50.4, Opponent Quality: 56.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.94

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.18

1.69

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.21

Adjusted Power Rating
45.2

Attack: 35.4, Defense: 61.1, Form: 48.3

53.0

Attack: 56.9, Defense: 47.9, Form: 53.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

3

46-60'

7

61-75'

1

76-90+'

3
Limavady Utd
Coleraine
Limavady Utd

Power Rating Breakdown

45.2

Overall

Attack 35.4
Defense 61.1
Form 48.3
Consistency 32.5
Coleraine

Power Rating Breakdown

53.0

Overall

Attack 56.9
Defense 47.9
Form 53.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

44.2 vs 50.4

Opponent Quality

48.0 vs 56.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Limavady Utd logo Limavady Utd
L
Carrick (56%)
L
Glentoran (50%)
W
Strabane (39%)
L
Linfield (49%)
W
Institute (44%)
L
Coleraine (55%)
W
Linfield (49%)
W
Lisburn Rng. (42%)
Coleraine logo Coleraine
W
Carrick (61%)
D
Larne (47%)
W
Dungannon (60%)
L
HJK (68%)
L
HJK (73%)
W
Portadown (43%)
W
Sligo (49%)
D
Larne (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Carrick H
1 - 2 L
56%
Glentoran A
0 - 2 L
50%
Strabane H
1 - 0 W
39%
Linfield H
0 - 1 L
49%
Institute H
2 - 1 W
44%
Coleraine H
0 - 2 L
55%
Linfield H
1 - 0 W
49%
Lisburn Rng. H
4 - 1 W
42%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Carrick A
2 - 0 W
61%
Larne H
0 - 0 D
47%
Dungannon A
3 - 1 W
60%
HJK H
0 - 3 L
68%
HJK A
0 - 5 L
73%
Portadown H
3 - 0 W
43%
Sligo A
2 - 1 W
49%
Larne A
0 - 0 D
54%
Dungannon A
3 - 2 W
62%
Glentoran H
6 - 2 W
45%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.5 vs 39.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Coleraine outperforms Limavady Utd with 1.9 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Both defenses are comparable, with Limavady Utd conceding 1.1 and Coleraine conceding 1.4 per match.

Limavady Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Coleraine is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Limavady Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 8 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Coleraine has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Coleraine faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Limavady Utd can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Coleraine. In practical terms, Coleraine would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Coleraine, with a 7.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In the Irish Cup (2026-03-07), Coleraine eliminated Limavady Utd with a 0-2 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Coleraine showed they can handle the pressure. Notably, Coleraine achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Limavady Utd shows genuine quality and mental strength. Limavady Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Coleraine will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Limavady Utd

Limavady Utd

VS
Coleraine

Coleraine

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Limavady Utd

4W 0D 4L · 9 goals scored · 9 conceded

Coleraine

6W 2D 2L · 19 goals scored · 14 conceded

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