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Compare Linfield vs Larne

Linfield vs Larne Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Linfield vs Larne: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Linfield Linfield Home Team
Larne Larne Away Team
Linfield
47.0
W W L W W L D L W L

Last 10 Matches

Larne
52.8
W D L D L L W W D W

Performance Radar

Linfield
Larne

Categories Won

8

Linfield

1

Draw

6

Larne

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Fitzpatrick (3 goals)
M. Lusty (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
39.1

League Difficulty: 50.1, Opponent Quality: 54.4

60.4

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 67.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.67

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.03

1.32

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
47.0

Attack: 50.5, Defense: 50.5, Form: 44.5

52.8

Attack: 51.5, Defense: 66.2, Form: 44.2

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

3

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

3
1

76-90+'

4
Linfield
Larne
Linfield

Power Rating Breakdown

47.0

Overall

Attack 50.5
Defense 50.5
Form 44.5
Consistency 38.8
Larne

Power Rating Breakdown

52.8

Overall

Attack 51.5
Defense 66.2
Form 44.2
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.1 vs 76.5

Opponent Quality

54.4 vs 67.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Linfield logo Linfield
W
Cliftonville (55%)
W
Glentoran (45%)
L
Ballymena Utd (50%)
W
Dollingstown (41%)
W
Limavady Utd (49%)
L
Doncaster (48%)
D
Kalju (72%)
L
Kalju (74%)
Larne logo Larne
W
Red Imps (59%)
D
Coleraine (59%)
L
Iberia (70%)
D
Iberia (67%)
L
Red Star (88%)
L
Red Star (83%)
W
Tre Fiori (68%)
W
Tre Fiori (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cliftonville H
1 - 0 W
55%
Glentoran H
2 - 1 W
45%
Ballymena Utd H
0 - 3 L
50%
Dollingstown A
7 - 1 W
41%
Limavady Utd A
1 - 0 W
49%
Doncaster H
0 - 2 L
48%
Kalju H
2 - 2 D
72%
Kalju A
0 - 1 L
74%
Dungannon H
3 - 1 W
55%
Cliftonville H
1 - 2 L
55%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Red Imps A
2 - 0 W
59%
Coleraine A
0 - 0 D
59%
Iberia A
1 - 2 L
70%
Iberia H
0 - 0 D
67%
Red Star A
0 - 5 L
88%
Red Star H
0 - 4 L
83%
Tre Fiori H
2 - 1 W
68%
Tre Fiori A
1 - 0 W
70%
Coleraine H
0 - 0 D
55%
Dungannon H
8 - 0 W
55%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Larne has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 60.4) compared to Linfield (SoS: 39.1). This means Larne's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Linfield leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Larne's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Linfield and Larne are evenly matched, allowing 1.3 and 1.2 goals per game respectively.

Larne has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Linfield is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Linfield has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Larne has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Larne. In practical terms, Larne would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

Larne has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.8-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Linfield

Linfield

VS
Larne

Larne

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Linfield

5W 1D 4L · 17 goals scored · 13 conceded

Larne

4W 3D 3L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded

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