Livingston vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Aberdeen has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.8) compared to Livingston (SoS: 44.9). This means Aberdeen's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

The attacking output of Livingston and Aberdeen is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.8 and 2.0 goals per game respectively.

Aberdeen's backline outperforms Livingston's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Aberdeen has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Aberdeen is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Aberdeen is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Livingston shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 29.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Aberdeen. In practical terms, Aberdeen would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Aberdeen emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (77.5 vs 47.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the Scottish Premiership (2026-05-01). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.