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Compare Livingston vs Celtic

Livingston vs Celtic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Livingston vs Celtic: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Livingston Livingston Home Team
Celtic Celtic Away Team
Livingston
47.7
D W D W L D L D W L

Last 10 Matches

Celtic
64.7
D D L W W W W W W W

Performance Radar

Livingston
Celtic

Categories Won

3

Livingston

2

Draw

10

Celtic

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 4D, 3L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

2.7

27 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

+11

+11

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

100%

10 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Muirhead (5 goals)
D. Maeda (9 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

71%

5W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.9

League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 59.8

42.4

League Difficulty: 57.5, Opponent Quality: 55.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.83

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.03

2.62

Actual: 2.7 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
47.7

Attack: 56.9, Defense: 53.8, Form: 28.5

64.7

Attack: 83.2, Defense: 43.1, Form: 64.7

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

4
1

31-45'

4
6

46-60'

5
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

8
Livingston
Celtic
Livingston

Power Rating Breakdown

47.7

Overall

Attack 56.9
Defense 53.8
Form 28.5
Consistency 57.7
Celtic

Power Rating Breakdown

64.7

Overall

Attack 83.2
Defense 43.1
Form 64.7
Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.0 vs 57.5

Opponent Quality

59.8 vs 55.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Livingston logo Livingston
D
Stenhousemuir (56%)
W
Forfar (44%)
D
Partick (54%)
W
Brechin (41%)
L
Kilmarnock (70%)
D
Dundee Utd (63%)
L
Dundee (69%)
D
Aberdeen (70%)
Celtic logo Celtic
D
AC Milan (40%)
D
Middlesbrough (45%)
L
Sporting (70%)
W
Dunfermline (50%)
W
Hearts (66%)
W
Motherwell (56%)
W
Rangers (61%)
W
Hibernian (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Stenhousemuir A
0 - 0 D
56%
Forfar H
8 - 0 W
44%
Partick H
1 - 1 D
54%
Brechin A
2 - 0 W
41%
Kilmarnock H
1 - 4 L
70%
Dundee Utd A
0 - 0 D
63%
Dundee A
0 - 3 L
69%
Aberdeen H
2 - 2 D
70%
St. Mirren A
2 - 0 W
68%
Dundee Utd A
2 - 3 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
AC Milan H
2 - 2 D
40%
Middlesbrough H
1 - 1 D
45%
Sporting A
1 - 4 L
70%
Dunfermline H
3 - 1 W
50%
Hearts H
3 - 1 W
66%
Motherwell A
3 - 2 W
56%
Rangers H
3 - 1 W
61%
Hibernian A
2 - 1 W
59%
Falkirk H
3 - 1 W
53%
St. Mirren H
6 - 2 W
53%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.9 vs 42.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Celtic holds the attacking edge with 2.7 goals per match versus Livingston's 1.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Livingston has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Celtic's 1.6.

Celtic is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Celtic is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Celtic is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Livingston shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Celtic faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Livingston can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Celtic. In practical terms, Celtic would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Celtic holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 64.7 against 47.7 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Livingston

Livingston

VS
Celtic

Celtic

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Livingston

3W 4D 3L · 18 goals scored · 13 conceded

Celtic

7W 2D 1L · 27 goals scored · 16 conceded

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